PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 86%
No 86%Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,7 mil €
Liquidez
2,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
13.0% / 15.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
6 oct 26, 8:21 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
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PolymarketConfirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
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PolymarketWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a human case of pneumonic plague outside the Russian Federation is confirmed and established as epidemiologically linked to the outbreak associated with the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case.
- A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies.
- An epidemiological link means a qualifying source states that the case acquired its infection from a person, animal, sample or material connected to the Irkutsk outbreak, or that the case travelled from Irkutsk Oblast within the incubation period and is being investigated as part of that outbreak.
- Resolution is based on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation and the link, not the date of exposure, symptom onset or laboratory result.