KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Before December 1, 2026 40%Líder entre 3 opciones
Before December 1, 2026 40%Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,4 mil €
Interés abierto
1,1 mil €
Interés abierto bajoSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
5 oct 26, 6:00 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 500s (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
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Manifold MarketsHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiHow many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiCyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
KalshiReglas
If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The disease is human pneumonic plague specifically. Bubonic or septicemic plague without pneumonic involvement, unspecified plague, and animal cases do not qualify. A case must be confirmed in the United States; a U.S. citizen diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed and reported in the United States qualify and need not be linked to the Russian outbreak. The first initial official confirmation must occur after Issuance and before midnight ET at the start of December 1, 2026. Symptom onset or infection before the deadline is insufficient if confirmation occurs later.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before December 1, 2026
- If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The disease is human pneumonic plague specifically. Bubonic or septicemic plague without pneumonic involvement, unspecified plague, and animal cases do not qualify. A case must be confirmed in the United States; a U.S. citizen diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed and reported in the United States qualify and need not be linked to the Russian outbreak. The first initial official confirmation must occur after Issuance and before midnight ET at the start of December 1, 2026. Symptom onset or infection before the deadline is insufficient if confirmation occurs later.
- Before January 1, 2027
- If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The disease is human pneumonic plague specifically. Bubonic or septicemic plague without pneumonic involvement, unspecified plague, and animal cases do not qualify. A case must be confirmed in the United States; a U.S. citizen diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed and reported in the United States qualify and need not be linked to the Russian outbreak. The first initial official confirmation must occur after Issuance and before midnight ET at the start of January 1, 2027. Symptom onset or infection before the deadline is insufficient if confirmation occurs later.
- Before November 1, 2026
- If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The disease is human pneumonic plague specifically. Bubonic or septicemic plague without pneumonic involvement, unspecified plague, and animal cases do not qualify. A case must be confirmed in the United States; a U.S. citizen diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed and reported in the United States qualify and need not be linked to the Russian outbreak. The first initial official confirmation must occur after Issuance and before midnight ET at the start of November 1, 2026. Symptom onset or infection before the deadline is insufficient if confirmation occurs later.