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  3. Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

5.0% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 32%-5.0%
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

12 €

Liquidez

712,5 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

30.0% / 33.0%

Spread

10.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 minutos

17 jul 25, 14:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes32%

Reglas

If the FDA approves any psychedelic substance for medical use for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Psychedelic drugs include: LSD, Psilocybin, DMT, Mescaline, MDMA, MDA, PCP, DXM, Ibogaine, Salvia divinorum, 2C family, and Ayahuasca.
  • Important information: For purposes of this Contract:
  • The listed substances are illustrative, not exhaustive.
  • Approval of any other substance commonly recognized in scientific or FDA documentation as a psychedelic, hallucinogen, or entactogen (for example, psilocin, 5-MeO-DMT, methylone, or 2C-, DOx-, or NBOMe-family compounds) may also satisfy the Payout Criterion.
  • "Approval for medical use" means an FDA approval letter for an NDA or BLA authorizing marketing of a drug or biologic for human medical use in the United States, where a listed (or otherwise qualifying) psychedelic substance is an active pharmaceutical ingredient of the approved product.

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Reglas

If the FDA approves any psychedelic substance for medical use for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Psychedelic drugs include: LSD, Psilocybin, DMT, Mescaline, MDMA, MDA, PCP, DXM, Ibogaine, Salvia divinorum, 2C family, and Ayahuasca.
  • Important information: For purposes of this Contract:
  • The listed substances are illustrative, not exhaustive.
  • Approval of any other substance commonly recognized in scientific or FDA documentation as a psychedelic, hallucinogen, or entactogen (for example, psilocin, 5-MeO-DMT, methylone, or 2C-, DOx-, or NBOMe-family compounds) may also satisfy the Payout Criterion.
  • "Approval for medical use" means an FDA approval letter for an NDA or BLA authorizing marketing of a drug or biologic for human medical use in the United States, where a listed (or otherwise qualifying) psychedelic substance is an active pharmaceutical ingredient of the approved product.