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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

11.0% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 17%-11.0%
Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

5,1 €

Liquidez

73,8 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

16.0% / 19.0%

Spread

18.8%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 7 minutos

14 may 26, 2:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Before Jan 1, 202717%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

1.0%6m
Sí
Sí
-0.0%12%
No
No
+0.0%89%
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total493,2 mil €
Volumen 24h238,8 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An approval is defined as:
  • For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
  • The following do NOT constitute approvals:

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Reglas

If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An approval is defined as:
  • For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
  • The following do NOT constitute approvals: