Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 29 oct 2026, 12:31 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 71.1%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado21 abr 23, 19:48 UTC31 dic 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This question will resolve as YES if the United Nations reports that the world's population has exceeded 10 billion people on or before December 31, 2050.
- Otherwise, it will resolve as NO.
- The reported population must be based on reliable and verifiable data sources, and not estimates or projections.
- The UN must provide an official announcement or report on the matter.
- The question does not take into account any potential events or disasters that could significantly impact global population numbers, such as pandemics, natural disasters, or major conflicts.
- It is solely based on the reported population number by the UN.
