Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
One-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 62.1%
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27
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado5 mar 26, 16:13 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, the United States conducts ground military operations inside mainland Iran.
- “Mainland Iran” excludes offshore islands such as Kharg Island.
- For this market to resolve YES, all of the following must occur:
- At least 100 uniformed members of the United States Armed Forces are physically present on land inside Iranian sovereign territory.
- These personnel are participating in military ground operations (e.g., raids, combat operations, seizures of facilities, or other military activity conducted on the ground).
- The following do not qualify:
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 62% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027??
- Está previsto que Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, the United States conducts ground military operations inside mainland Iran.