Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
One-OffGeopolíticaOriente Medio2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.8%
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado5 mar 26, 16:13 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, the United States conducts ground military operations inside mainland Iran.
- “Mainland Iran” excludes offshore islands such as Kharg Island.
- For this market to resolve YES, all of the following must occur:
- At least 100 uniformed members of the United States Armed Forces are physically present on land inside Iranian sovereign territory.
- These personnel are participating in military ground operations (e.g., raids, combat operations, seizures of facilities, or other military activity conducted on the ground).
- The following do not qualify: