Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?
US PoliticsGeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastLatin America3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 63.2%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 26, 7:35 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia conduct military operations in any another country against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia conduct military operations in Afghanistan against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
PolymarketWill the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
In 2025 the US government under Trump conducted overt military operations against seven countries; Iran, Iraq, Nigeria, Somalia, Syria, Venezuela and Yemen.
- Will the US conduct overt military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?
- Overt military operations are attacks by air, sea or ground conducted by Department of Defense forces.
- Covert action strikes will be counted only when conducted by DoD and later officially acknowledged by the US government.
- IT IS HARD TO BELIEVE I HAVE TO SAY THIS BUT STRIKES IN THE USA DO NOT COUNT. 🇺🇸
- Resolution criteria
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In 2025 the US government under Trump conducted overt military operations against seven countries; Iran, Iraq, Nigeria, Somalia, Syria, Venezuela and Yemen.