Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.3%
Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado9 dic 23, 14:52 UTC31 dic 28, 21:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
The following will resolve NO: The United States continues to stand as a full NATO member continuously, through December 31, 2028.
- Full NATO member is defined as continuing to assent to all NATO articles, and not going into “stand-by” or any other reduction in membership status.
- All other scenarios, including the US leaving NATO and returning, or the disbandment of NATO altogether, resolve YES.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028??
- Está previsto que Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The following will resolve NO: The United States continues to stand as a full NATO member continuously, through December 31, 2028.