Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEurope2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 77.8%
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71
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado1 mar 25, 3:14 UTC1 ene 29, 15:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.
- Resolution will NOT be dependent on A 2/3 Senate super majority or act of Congress if Trump unilaterally withdraws and the Federal courts do not declare such withdrawal unlawful.
- Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Notice of Denunciation Clarification:
- Sufficient Action: The market will resolve YES if the US sends a formal notice of denunciation to NATO.
- Waiting Period Irrelevant: The one-year waiting period between the notice and actual withdrawal is not required for a YES outcome.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 78% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency??
- Está previsto que Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.