Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 51.3%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado11 jun 25, 20:18 UTC21 ene 29, 11:59 UTC
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The pentagon has launched a review of the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal:
- https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/trump-administration-launches-review-biden-era-defense-pact-with-australia-uk-2025-06-11/
- Resolves YES if the US withdraws from the pact, or substantially downgrades its involvment in it, while Trump is president.
- As this could easily fall into a grey zone, I will not place any bet in this market.
- If the outcome is ambiguous, I will rely on a combination of sources and trader input to determine whether the Trump administration effectively "withdrew the US from AUKUS".
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 51% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump??
- Está previsto que Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The pentagon has launched a review of the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal: