Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.4%
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14
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado15 nov 23, 13:59 UTC1 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
Previously nearly-universal support for Israel among the western political powers is starting to degrade.
- Polling in various western countries tends to indicate that a generational shift is underway.
- A major tipping point in this shift will be when it is no longer domestically tenable for the US to officially provide military aid for Israel (e.g. supplying them with money/missiles as a regular budget item).
- Will this happen before January 1st, 2030?
- Edit: The US may still maintain diplomatic relations with Israel, recognize it as a state, consider it an ally, and even provide it with other kinds of foreign aid.
- This question will resolve solely on official military aid supporting Israel’s ability to wage war offensively and defensively (e.g. supplying monetary assistance for the purchase of weapons, and/or supplying those weapons directly, missiles for the Iron Dome, etc).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Previously nearly-universal support for Israel among the western political powers is starting to degrade.