Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2027?
Rusia / UcraniaOne-OffEspacioCienciaChina1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.7%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
23 dic 23, 18:22 UTC1 ene 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2027, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, adhering to the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be detailed in a peer-reviewed publication in a high-impact scientific journal of significant academic reputation.
- Fields relevant to this evidence include astronomy, astrobiology, or related scientific disciplines.
- Journals such as 'Nature' and 'Science' are prime examples, but other journals of similar standing are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or government bodies.
- These could include NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).
