KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin actividad de trading
Datos del 5 oct 2026, 8:02 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
1 or more 0%Líder entre 3 opciones
1 or more 0%Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
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Interés abierto desconocidoSpread
55.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 minutos
5 oct 26, 0:30 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
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PolymarketReglas
If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Rospotrebnadzor
- Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (November 8). Only cases that Rospotrebnadzor, Russia's federal public health agency, confirms after Issuance and before November 1, 2026 count. Cases newly reported during the window between November 1 and Expiration do not count, even if they are backdated to the specified time period. A case is a human infection with Yersinia pestis (plague in any form) in Irkutsk Oblast, including a posthumous confirmation, and each infected person counts once. Suspected cases, and illness described as pneumonia of undetermined etiology, do not count.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 1 or more
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2 or more
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5 or more
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.