Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2028?
Rusia / UcraniaOne-OffChinaEspacioCiencia2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.3%
Pronosticadores
40
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado23 dic 23, 18:26 UTC1 ene 29, 22:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2028, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, meeting the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be detailed in at least one peer-reviewed publication in a high-impact scientific journal with significant academic reputation.
- Relevant fields include astronomy, astrobiology, or related scientific disciplines.
- Journals like 'Nature' and 'Science' are ideal examples, but other journals of similar standing are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or governmental bodies.
- Agencies that could fulfill this role include, but are not limited to, NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).
