Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2026?
Rusia / UcraniaOne-OffEspacioCienciaChina2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 13:11 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 94.6%
No 94.6%Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado23 dic 23, 18:20 UTC1 ene 27, 22:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2026, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, meeting the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be documented in at least one peer-reviewed article in a high-impact scientific journal with substantial academic reputation.
- Relevant fields for this evidence include astronomy, astrobiology, or similar scientific disciplines.
- Prominent journals like 'Nature' and 'Science' are ideal, but other journals of equivalent standing are also suitable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two esteemed space exploration agencies or government entities.
- These might include NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).
