Will Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
GeopolíticaIAClima2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualVaccines are safe 25.6%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
35
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado8 mar 25, 1:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES for any answer if, before the market close date, Elon Musk makes public statements that clearly contradict the scientific consensus position described in that answer.
- Specifically:
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that climate change is not real, not happening, or not significantly caused by human activity.
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that vaccines in general are unsafe, harmful, or more dangerous than the diseases they prevent.
- Coming out against mRNA vaccines counts if and only if there's a clear scientific consensus that they are safe.
