Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 84%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado17 mar 23, 19:17 UTC1 ene 28, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
The detonation must include a nuclear component.
- The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
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- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
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- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
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- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027??
- Está previsto que Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The detonation must include a nuclear component.