Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.4%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado3 nov 23, 19:40 UTC2 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
Includes both offensive detonations and "tests" used to intimidate people.
- Any country could be the progenitor as long as it's clearly mostly about the Israel-Hamas conflict or whatever larger conflict grows out of that.
- (e.g. Russia launching a missile at Ukraine does not count, but Russia launching a missile at Israel does count.)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Includes both offensive detonations and "tests" used to intimidate people.