Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.1%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado17 mar 23, 19:17 UTC1 ene 30, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be detonated before strong AGI?
Manifold MarketsWill any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
The detonation must include a nuclear component.
- The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.