¿Algún país que actualmente no se sabe que tiene armas nucleares detonará un arma nuclear en 2026? (Pruebas incluidas)
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChina3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado29 jun 25, 20:40 UTC1 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
New nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurWill the United States government detonate a nuclear weapon anywhere in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich actor will be the next to detonate a nuclear weapon offensively?
Manifold MarketsWill North Korea resume its nuclear tests in 2026?
FutuurNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Countries currently known to have nuclear weapons are the United States, Russia, United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Israel.
- This includes wartime use, tests, peaceful use, etc. -- any detonation.
- A nuclear detonation is a nuclear explosion in which the majority of the energy release comes from fission or fusion reactions rather than chemical reactions.
- See also: @/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-that-is-not-curren-ncdy4rg06s
- @/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-602fc87e774f