Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 95.2%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado8 nov 24, 17:24 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.
- The device itself must detonate causing a nuclear chain reaction and explosion.
- A dirty bomb does not cause a chain reaction and so will resolve to “No.”
- The territory of Ukraine is considered to be all territory claimed prior to the 2014 Russian invasion and seizure of Crimea and Donbas.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.