Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRusia / Ucrania2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 97.4%
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14
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado8 nov 24, 17:24 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.
- The device itself must detonate causing a nuclear chain reaction and explosion.
- A dirty bomb does not cause a chain reaction and so will resolve to “No.”
- The territory of Ukraine is considered to be all territory claimed prior to the 2014 Russian invasion and seizure of Crimea and Donbas.