Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffEspacioRusia / Ucrania2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.7%
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 36 minutos
1 mar 26, 9:31 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any nuclear weapon is detonated by the United States in combat or testing by December 31, 2026.
- This includes strategic warheads, tactical nuclear weapons, or any other nuclear explosive device deployed by U.S. military forces.
- Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government statements, credible news reporting from major international outlets, or public acknowledgment by the Department of Defense.
- The market resolves NO if no nuclear detonation occurs by the end of 2026.
- The United States remains the only country to have used nuclear weapons in combat, with the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in World War II.
