Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.2%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado6 dic 25, 23:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The weapon must detonate, meaning nuclear yield exceeding chemical yield.
- Offensive, peaceful, or accidental use is not included.
- @/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta
- @/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta-6g0yu8nmo1
Mercados abiertos
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- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
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+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
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- 35,3 M €
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- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- December 317%
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- July 310%
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- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The weapon must detonate, meaning nuclear yield exceeding chemical yield.