PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 96%+0.6pt
Calidad del mercado
77 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
2,7 mil €
Liquidez
39,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
3.3% / 4.5%
Spread
1.2 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-1.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
5 nov 25, 19:43 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a nuclear test by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Iran that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
- Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Tests not explicitly claimed by Iran may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Iran.
- For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Iran.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Iran nuclear test before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Iran nuclear test before 2027??
- Está previsto que Iran nuclear test before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Iran nuclear test before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a nuclear test by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.