Will all pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals cause all AI infrastructures to defunct before 2050?
GeopolíticaOne-OffIARegulaciónSociedad y cultura
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.2%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado31 oct 26, 4:24 UTC31 dic 49, 11:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will all pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals cause all prediction markets to defunct before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple go defunct before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Google go defunct before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhich technology companies will be defunct and cease to exist before 2050?
Manifold MarketsAustralia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill X (Twitter) be banned in Australia in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, prior to January 1, 2050 (23:59:59 UTC), actions, rulings, or enforcement measures originating from pseudo-legal or sovereign citizen self-declared "international tribunals" directly cause the complete cessation or defunct status of all global artificial intelligence infrastructure (including major public/commercial data centers, compute clusters, and cloud AI hosting networks worldwide).
- This market resolves to NO if:
- As of January 1, 2050, global AI infrastructure remains operational.
- Global AI infrastructure becomes defunct due to other causes (e.g., global power grid failure, state-level military conflict, cyberwarfare, natural catastrophe, or recognized sovereign government actions) rather than sovereign citizen tribunals.
- Only a subset of AI infrastructure becomes defunct while other major systems remain operational.
