Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
One-OffSociedad y culturaRegulaciónTecnología3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.1%
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Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado10 dic 25, 3:28 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES iff the social media ban for under 16 year olds in Australia implemented in December 2025 is no longer law at any point from January 1st to December 31st 2026 according to consensus of credible reporting.
- Update 2025-12-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional resolution criteria:
- Changes to the list of banned sites will not count as YES unless only one or fewer sites remain restricted (currently ten sites are restricted)
- Decreases to the age limit count as YES only if reduced by at least two years
- If the law is rendered constitutionally invalid by a successful High Court challenge, this counts as YES
- Changes must take legal effect at any point in 2026 for YES, not merely announced
