KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 80%
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
69.0% / 75.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
25 ago 26, 22:00 UTC1 oct 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will the EU enact a social media ban for children?
KalshiUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketAustralia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiReglas
If an under-16 social media ban has become law in New Zealand before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
- The following do NOT constitute enactment:
- Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
- Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Mercados abiertos
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- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 182,3 mil €
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 resultados más
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- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
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- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
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- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban??
- Kalshi cotiza Yes al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban??
- Está previsto que Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If an under-16 social media ban has become law in New Zealand before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.