Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
One-OffCriptoRegulaciónCommoditiesStablecoinPolítica1m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore Sep 1, 2026 4%Líder entre 12 opciones
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73 / 100
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34 mil €
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Actualizado hace 19 minutos
13 jul 26, 16:001 sept 26, 14:00
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Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
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Before Sep 1, 20264%
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If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
- Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
- The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
- Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
- Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion: