[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.6%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado21 mar 24, 18:56 UTC2 ene 27, 8:00 UTC
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Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21548/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if credible media sources report a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before January 1, 2027.
- For this question, a direct conflict would be defined as:
- Any presence of uniformed troops within the internationally recognized borders of a hostile state without permission (whether these are NATO soldiers within Russian borders, or Russian soldiers within the borders of any NATO member state.)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027??
- Está previsto que [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?