If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 55.3%
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97
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado9 abr 23, 8:12 UTC31 dic 30, 12:59 UTC
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If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
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KalshiReglas
Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China
- Resolves No otherwise
- Resolves N/A if by close date China has not invaded Taiwan
- "Invasion" is any attempt to establish a ground presence on the island of Taiwan with military force.
- If China attempted a landing on Taiwan but was entirely thwarted by a US attack this would still resolve Yes