[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.2%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado24 mar 24, 19:35 UTC2 ene 27, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketIf NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia remove troops from Georgia in 2026?
FutuurReglas
Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21761/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, credible media sources report that combat troops from a NATO country are physically and openly present in Ukraine (under its internationally recognized borders at the time such reports are made) in significant numbers.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de [Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve [Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers??
- Está previsto que [Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida [Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?