How will Trump respond if China attacks, blockades, or physically annexes Taiwan before the end of his presidency?
GeopolíticaChinaPolítica de EE. UU.Política2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
China will not attack/blockade/annex Taiwan before the end of Trump's presidency. 75%Líder entre 7 opciones
China will not attack/blockade/annex Taiwan before the end of Trump's presidency. 75%Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado20 may 26, 17:57 UTC20 ene 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsChina attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028
Manifold MarketsIf China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
I've added basic answers, but I'm open to suggestions for other answers.
- If Trump's presidency ends before January 20, 2029 at 6:59 AM EDT, I will close the market.