¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 50.4% a fecha de 31 de octubre de 2026.

If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 50.4%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 hora

Retrasado

24 oct 22, 8:42 UTC2 feb 30, 5:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

This market resolves YES if this market resolves YES, and within a month from that time, a Chinese military unit has either:

Killed a deployed member of the US military.
Fired on a US military vehicle or base.
This market resolves NO if this doesn't happen within a month of the resolution of the previously mentioned market.
If that market resolves NO or N/A, this market resolves N/A.