Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente Medio2m
FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 94%
No 94%Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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KalshiReglas
This event predicts whether Palestine will be admitted as a full member state of the United Nations at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official decision of the United Nations General Assembly admitting Palestine as a full member.
- If the UN General Assembly admits Palestine as a full member state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Observer state status or any status short of full membership will not count.
- If official UN documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.