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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

4.8% (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaMiddle East6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Finland
Finland 5%-4.8%
Líder entre 13 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

304,7 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

4.0% / 8.7%

Spread

117.5%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

4 dic 25, 15:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Finland5%

Reglas

If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
  • - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
  • The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
  • - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
  • **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,638.04+2.55%EthereumETH$1,650.93+2.11%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.02%XRPXRP$1.12+0.53%BNBBNB$595.11+1.92%

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Reglas

If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
  • - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
  • The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
  • - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
  • **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.