KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualNew Zealand 13.4%Líder entre 13 opciones
Calidad del mercado
42 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
8,8 €
Liquidez
29,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
3.1% / 9.8%
Spread
6.7 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 minutos
4 dic 25, 15:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Finland7%
Comparar plataformas· Italy
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general82% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 16% | 0pt | 164,3 € | 70,5 mil € | hace 7 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baja | 14% | -2pt | 8,8 € | 29,7 mil € | hace 27 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
1.0 pts5m
-0.5pt20.4%
-1.0pt14.8%
-2.5pt13%
+8 resultados más
56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total661,4 mil €
Volumen 24h164,3 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$105 jul15d de datos27 jul
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If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.