Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
0.4% (24h)One-OffMiddle East5m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualSí 7%+0.4%
Calidad del mercado
91 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
182,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
6.8% / 6.9%
Spread
1.5%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
8 ene 26, 15:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes7%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 93% | +86pt | 1,1 mil € | 182,6 mil € | hace 17 minutos | |
 Polymarket92% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 95% | +88pt | 187,6 € | 33 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5m
95%
5%
56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total543,8 mil €
Volumen 24h187,6 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.7k93.6%KALSHINohace 4 d
KALSHINohace 4 d$6.8k94.5%KALSHINohace 4 d
KALSHINohace 4 dTendencia de volumen
$1.3k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
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If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.