Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
One-OffReligionSociety & Culture
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Oct 6, 2026, 4:38 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Roman Catholic Church announces the excommunication of any individual or group of individuals subsequent to market creation and by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Pope Leo XIV, official information from the Catholic Church, or a consensus of credible reporting.