Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
3.0% (24h)One-OffReligionSociety & Culture5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 58%+0.0%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$88.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
54.0% / 62.0%
Spread
14.8%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 7:45 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes58%
Volume trend
$18Jul 34d of dataJul 7
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Roman Catholic Church announces the excommunication of any individual or group of individuals subsequent to market creation and by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Pope Leo XIV, official information from the Catholic Church, or a consensus of credible reporting.