Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
3.5 pts (24h)One-OffReligionSociety & Culture3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 86.1%-3.5pt
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$22.4
Liquidity
$291.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 16.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 7:45 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Roman Catholic Church announces the excommunication of any individual or group of individuals subsequent to market creation and by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Pope Leo XIV, official information from the Catholic Church, or a consensus of credible reporting.
