Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character?
One-OffEntertainment3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 70.4%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJul 1, 24, 4:51 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
I've been playing in a PbP RPG campaign for just over a year now.
- In that time we've played B/X, SWN, and now (for a while) 4e D&D. In that time, I have lost a character in the B/X game (unlucky ambush roll + lvl 1 character = instant death), and then just recently I lost my character in the 4e campaign as he held off an encounter we shouldn't have attempted to fight in the first place while the rest of the party got away.
- No one else has lost any characters in the time I've been playing in this server.
- Will I complete the hat trick before anyone else loses a character? (and to clarify, by "lose" I mean the character dies or is in some other way permanently taken out of action - not that we switch systems or I get bored with a character or anything like that)
- Some details: * I am playing a Defender class with the new character (swordmage), so it is generally my character's job to take the hits for the party
- * That said, my new character is dispositionally a bit less heroic and self-sacrificing than the last one (wandering scholar vs noble paladin), so she's less likely to do that sort of doomed retreat thing than the last one
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? resolve?
- Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I've been playing in a PbP RPG campaign for just over a year now.