PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 95%
No 95%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$159.7
Liquidity
$859.4
Low liquidityOpen interest
$8.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
8
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 8:42 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Lionel Messi score 950 goals before 2027?
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PolymarketBallon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
PolymarketWill Lionel Messi be with Inter Miami at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count)
Manifold MarketsBallon d'Or 2026: Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club-level professional soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring or indefinitely departing from club-level professional soccer with the intention of not participating in any club competition.
- The announcement must come from Messi himself or official representatives thereof.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from club competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave club soccer in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify).
- If Messi retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in international soccer (e.g., for the Argentina national team), that retirement will still qualify.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 5%.
CoinRithm reference 5% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
