Will Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count)
Latin AmericaOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.9%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 8:22 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if, before Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, Lionel Messi publicly states or implies that Lamine Yamal is his son — in any form: interview, press conference, social media post, stream, ad, or joke.
- Humorous/ironic statements count, as long as they come from Messi himself (his verified accounts or on-camera).
- Does NOT count: statements by third parties, memes reposted without Messi’s own words, fake/AI content, deleted posts with no reliable archive.
- Resolution source: video/original post from a verifiable source (verified account, major sports media recording).
- Context: the famous 2007 photo of Messi holding baby Lamine Yamal during a UNICEF photoshoot.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count)?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count) resolve?
- Will Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if, before Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, Lionel Messi publicly states or implies that Lamine Yamal is his son — in any form: interview, press conference, social media post, stream, ad, or joke.