KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 95%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 7.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 14, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 8, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count)
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KalshiRules
If Lamine Yamal transfers out of Barcelona before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ESPN
- This includes permanent transfers out (the player is sold or transferred to another club, whether for a fee or as a free transfer), loans out (the player is loaned out to another club for any duration), or an official contract release (including expiration) or termination (the player and club part ways, making the player a free agent).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2027??
- Kalshi prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2027? resolve?
- Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 8, 2027.
- How is Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2027? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Lamine Yamal transfers out of Barcelona before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.