Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 88%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleJun 24, 26, 7:46 PMJul 31, 30, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes88%
Volume trend
$100Jul 152d of dataJul 16
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