This market resolved: Mbappé
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 1:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Mbappé
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Mbappé100%
Messi0%
MbappéWon
MessiLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By the end of 2028, will either Erling Haaland or Kylian Mbappé have played in an MLS league match?
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Manifold MarketsWill Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count)
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PolymarketWill Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?
LimitlessWill Lionel Messi score 950 goals before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lionel Messi in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.
- This market will resolve to "Messi" if Lionel Messi finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé.
- The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.
- If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
