PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (100%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 6:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityNo 100%
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJan 17, 26, 3:17 AMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $1.6K | $0 | 26 days ago | |
 Limitless97% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $0 | $0 | 27 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Closed
Resolved
No (99.4%)
99.4%
0.6%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$8.9K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
- An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
- An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.