PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 87.1%+1.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$58.8
Liquidity
$646.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 9:47 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?
PolymarketWill China become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China become democratic before 2030?
Manifold MarketsChina vs Puerto Rico
KalshiChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report covering 2026 ranks China as #2 in total art market sales.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, total art market sales refers to both dealer and auction segments.
- If China is tied with another country for second greatest total art market sales, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- This market will resolve according to the annual Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report covering the 2026 calendar year.
- If no such report is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".