PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Tim Cook - Apple 100%+74.5ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$23.2
Liquidity
$5.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.1 pt
Wide spreadComments
20
7d Change
+1.7 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Nov 18, 25, 3:42 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Manifold MarketsBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
- This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $98.9K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.9K
- 24h Vol
- $48.6K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.1pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.0pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+49.5pt99%
- No-49.5pt1%
- Total Vol
- $24.7K
- 24h Vol
- $23.6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which CEOs will be out before 2027??
- Polymarket prices Tim Cook - Apple at 100% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which CEOs will be out before 2027? resolve?
- Which CEOs will be out before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Which CEOs will be out before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.