US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
11.0 pts (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffRussia / UkraineGeopoliticsUS Politics8mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 67.3%
Yes 67.3%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$742.1
Low liquidityOpen interest
$961.1
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Comments
1
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 26, 10:07 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
On October 9, 2026, Donald Trump announced an agreement with Vladimir Putin to import Russian diesel fuel, and the United States Treasury issued General License 135 authorizing the importation of Russian-origin diesel fuel into the United States through April 7, 2027 (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/117412435306815143 & https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20261009_33).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russian diesel fuel is imported to the United States before Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If Russian diesel fuel is imported to the United States before Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- If Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place before Russian diesel fuel is imported to the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither an import of Russian diesel fuel to the United States nor Russia x Ukraine peace talks occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.