KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below $300 billion · —
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Stored price
Below $280 billion 53%Market line of 5 lines
Below $280 billion 53%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Below $300 billionSpread
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Market data
Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingApr 2, 26, 2:00 PM UTCFeb 4, 27, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Below $300 billion
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US imports Russian diesel by which date?
PolymarketUS imports more lithium for consumption in 2026 than 2024?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiWill China rhenium imports exceed 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China rhenium imports exceed 42 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $280 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FRED
Rules for each outcome
- Below $300 billion
- If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $300 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $280 billion
- If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $280 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $260 billion
- If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $260 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $220 billion
- If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $220 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $240 billion
- If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $240 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.