Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffPoliticsElectionMiddle East8h
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$19
Liquidity
$9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.3%
Spread
0.2 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
-14.8 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 12:09 PM UTCSep 8, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ben-Gvir and Smotrich's parties submit a joint list?
KalshiIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
PolymarketIsrael Election: The Reservists & Blue and White Run on Same List?
PolymarketIsrael Election: New Economic Party & Amcha Yisrael Run on Same List?
PolymarketHow are party-list seats divided in Russian state Duma in 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Ben-Gvir be a minister in the thirty-eighth government of Israel?
Manifold MarketsRules
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026.
- Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir both appear as candidates on the same party list submitted to the Central Elections Committee to contest the 2026 Knesset elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A list on which both individuals appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions either individual occupies on the list.
- If either individual does not appear on any party list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.