This market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 10:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 9:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?
Manifold MarketsRivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
KalshiWill Rivian go bankrupt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027
KalshiSTRC hits $100 by…
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
As of market creation, Rivian is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for Rivian's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.64 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rivian reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.64 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If Rivian releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.